داستان آبیدیک

deterrent threat


فارسی

1 سیاسی و روابط بین الملل:: تهدید بازدارنده

The most common way of measuring the health of a deterrence threat grounded in denial capabilities is the immediate balance of forces in the contested territory-but, as will be explained, the local balance of forces is not the only, or even always the most important, factor. The United States has sometimes hesitated to make less-ambiguous deterrent threats, such as in the cases of Korea and Iraq, because of another complication in extended deterrence (and deterrence threats of all kinds): Such threats can be very costly to make. But this comparative decisionmaking process also suggests, as Schelling argued, that "the pain and suffering" embodied in the deterrent threats "have to appear contingent on their behavior."30 If deterrent threats come to be perceived as a general policy of hostility, they may lose their ability to be applied to deter specific actions. In both cases, the United States refused to be clear in its deterrent threat. A key challenge of deterrent threats is to ensure that a potential aggressor perceives the message "through the din and noise" of world politics.32 This demands both public and private efforts to communicate an unambiguous message.

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